Saturday, September 20, 2008
Pac-10 potpourri, Week 4
Hats off to Georgia. Clearly the better team at Sun Devil Stadium on Saturday. ASU needed all decks on hand to have a shot against the Bulldogs, and without tailback Keegan Herring, they lacked a credible running attack to keep the Georgia defense honest. But as physical as the Bulldogs are, Herring's presence may not have made much of a difference.
Say this about Pac-10 football, though: the conference's emphasis on speed, finesse and pass-happy offense makes the game more entertaining. As a fan, what would you rather watch -- a nap-inducing SEC slugfest like Georgia's 14-7 snoozer over South Carolina or Auburn's 3-2 win against Mississippi State last week, or a wide-open game like ASU-Georgia, where the Sun Devil defensive scheme challenges Georgia to tap into its full arsenal of athletic talent? Knowshown Moreno, Matt Stafford and A.J. Green all had huge games on Saturday in front of a national audience as Georgia abandoned the smashmouth approach and actually spread out the offense. Take note, SEC apologists.
Not much to speak of elsewhere in the Pac on Saturday, other than Oregon's predictable collapse and U of A's surprising drubbing of UCLA. And while I will, of course, root for ASU to pull off an upset against USC next month, I find myself envisioning a BCS title game that should have happened last year: USC-Georgia.
The Crystal Ball: Haiku Review...
Iowa beats Pittsburgh in a no-offense slugfest.
Alabama beats Arkansas with offensive balance.
UPSET ALERT: Troy gives Ohio State a run for its money in Columbus.
Florida handles Tennessee in Knoxville.
Miami's speed and defense help the Hurricanes beat Texas A&M.
Michigan State forces Notre Dame QB Jimmy Clausen into some poor decisions and the Spartans beat the visiting Irish.
Virginia Tech beats North Carolina with speed on defense.
Utah beats Air Force with offensive balance.
UPSET ALERT: Ball State beats in-state rival Indiana. The Cardinals will rely heavily on screens and draws.
TCU runs over SMU in Dallas, but the Mustangs show signs of improvement offensively.
Florida State take an early lead over Wake Forest and then hold on for dear life.
LSU beats Auburn by converting on third down when it counts.
Arizona State keeps it close early, but Georgia pulls away and wins comfortably.
Remember these names...
Connecticut Junior RB Donald Brown... A tank that can also make shifty moves, he reminds me of Matt Forte, the outstanding rookie running back for the Chicago Bears. He's a bit short at 5-10. Yet, I predict Mr. Brown will be playing on Sundays for somebody.
If you haven't heard about them yet, just you wait.
Friday, September 19, 2008
The Crystal Ball: "Yay for Cooler Temps" edition
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Why West Virginia won't win the Big East...
Nintendo Stat of the Week...
September 2007: $68.
September 2008: 49 cents (as of this morning).
If only it weren't true.
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
"It was the ____ of times..."
With Texas facing hurricane destruction, the newspaper industry on the fritz and Wall Street imploding before our eyes, I've been channeling my inner Dickens lately. If not for sports, and specifically football, I think I'd just as well sit in my pajamas all day with the shades drawn sucking down Shiner Lights and watching SportsCenter.
But we all have to remember, what goes for sports also goes for life... Remember when Notre Dame was a juggernaut under Lou Holtz and USC was but a 7-4 Holiday Bowl mainstay and Pete Carroll was a washed up coach for the Jets? Remember when the Kansas City Royals were good? Remember when hockey mattered? Remember when Tom Brady was a backup? Remember when the Tampa Bay Rays couldn't buy a win and played routinely in front of crowds of 6,000? (Actually, that last part is still true.)
Point is, America is pretty much Tampa Bay circa 2006. We're in last place. We're pushing 100 losses. We're playing out the string with our Triple A guys. It's ugly and unpleasant, I know. It looks like things just aren't going to turn around for the rest of eternity.
And then, at some point --- and God knows when it will come --- but, at some point, things will turn around. We'll make that Herschel Walker trade, sweep the Yankees, upset USC at the Coliseum, beat the Russians in hockey.
We'll get there, for sure. All it takes is time, patience and the hope for a better tomorrow.
I'm Ted Kim and I approved this message. Keep choppin'!
Buy me, sell me.
Joe McKnight. Time to jump on the bandwagon before it gets too crowded. It's only a matter of time before the dynamic USC RB (a sophomore!) starts getting mentions for the Heisman.
Georgia. With all due respect to our man Jake, I think Georgia does a woodshed job on Arizona State and reestablishes itself among the elite. The longer the season progresses, the more Georgia's excellent run/pass balance will come in handy. (I will, of course, be rooting for Arizona State.)
Former Arkansas brethren RBs Darren McFadden and Felix Jones. Yes, I put Mr. McFadden, now a Raider, on my "sell" list last week. But on Saturday he looked like a different runner and slashed through the Chiefs for 164 yards on 21 carries. Jones of the Cowboys, meanwhile, torched the Iggles for an ungodly amount of kick return yards. The duo is legit. (Where was it all during January's Cotton Bowl, fellas?)
Time to sell:
Rutgers football. The team is an 0-2 mess. Construction on a stadium expansion is over-budget and delayed. The coach's contract is being scrutinized. The Legislature is calling for an investigation. The team is losing TV games left and right. And the natives are growing restless. The unofficial Rutgers motto is "Keep Choppin'." I hear choppin' alright. Timber.
Coastal property. It's far too risky in this "Inconvenient Truth" Era to own a house along the Gulf or Atlantic coasts. If only there were a place in this country immune to disasters. Bucks County, Pa.? Vermont, perhaps? New York State's Finger Lakes? The search continues...
If I were a Wall Street man, I'd short sell....
Wake Forest. I'm telling you right now. They're good, but they're not that good.
Ohio State. You think things were bad against USC? Here's an early prediction from The Crystal Ball: Ohio State faces a possible upset this Saturday against Troy.
Tampa Bay Rays. See Wake Forest.
Any publicly-traded insurance company. If A.I.G. can bite it, so can Travelers, Chubb, Citigroup, etc.
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Bold Types
Shameless plug
1) I am in a unique state of psychosis/denial after ASU's colossal collapse torpedoed all buzz and hype related to the Georgia game. At this point, ASU could win by 50 points and I wouldn't care.
2) I have been immersed in the launch of SMU's latest student news site: The Daily Mustang. Bookmark it and visit often. And check back a little later this week for a video preview of this weekend's Iron Skillet matchup between SMU and TCU. Find out how a Horned Frog's ability to spew blood from its eyes factors into the rivalry.
You didn't ask me, but...
I can't quite figure out whether Tony Romo's calm demeanor in the pocket and post-game interviews is for real or all schtick to mask some kind of crazy Tiger Woods-esque competitive intensity. This guy is incredible. One minute the Cowboys' QB's hands are made of margarine. The next minute he's Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Clint Eastwood all put together. ... You've got to love Donovan McNabb. He's the consummate professional. You get the sense that he plays football like he's punching his timecard at the local widget factory. He's all business and no smiles. We're manufacturing touchdowns today? Got it. ... I don't think I heard Flozell Adams get flagged for his usual false start penalty, but maybe I missed it. ... Did you happen to notice the choking traffic that surrounded Texas Stadium well into the second quarter? It was apparent on television.
Monday, September 15, 2008
The Agony Meter...
Total agony: Arizona State
Undefeated matchup with Georgia. Outside chance at a national championship bid and a Heisman for QB Rudy Carpenter. Shot at a Pac-10 championship and a Top 10 ranking. All of it goes poof with a loss to UNLV when the Rebels block an overtime field goal launched from the foot of Arizona State's Groza Award-winning kicker. For Sun Devil fans, I'd call that total agony.
Some agony: Southern Methodist
The Mustangs are crushed on national television by Texas Tech. QB Bo Levi Mitchell looks like he's never read a defense before. Yet with Tech strong this year and SMU clearly in rebuilding mode, the results were not all that unexpected.
A dash of agony: Boston College
The Eagles' loss to Georgia Tech earlier this month looks all the more bush league as the Yellow Jackets lose to Virginia Tech. Moreover, B.C.'s game Saturday with Central Florida is moved to television outpost ESPNU. But at least B.C., which had a bye week on Saturday, didn't lose to anyone.
God must be a...: Trojan, Bulldog, Bronco or Merrill employee
USC destroys Ohio State. And the Trojan talent only gets deeper next year. The Georgia Bulldogs pull out out against South Carolina, which fumbles on the goal line to snuff out a late comeback. On the pro side, the Broncos steal one against the Chargers when ref Ed Hochuli blows a call and gives Denver a chance to score. Wall Street brokerage Merrill Lynch engineers an eleventh-hour deal with Bank of America even as its competitors crumble.
On the tube: Early Week 4 edition
Best warmup: Catch a couple of former one-hit wonders as Kansas State visits Louisville (7 p.m. Wednesday, ESPN2). A close second is West Virginia at Colorado (7:30 p.m. Thursday, ESPN). The only reason I don't list that one as the mid-week game to watch is that it's going to be ugly yet again for the Big East.
How many times can I write Carolina in one paragraph?: The only team with "Carolina" in its name that NC State doesn't face this year is Western Carolina University. They've already been shut out and blown out by South Carolina, and the Wolfpack visits North Carolina on Nov. 22. This week? An 11 a.m. game hosting East Carolina (ESPN). Can the C-USA powerhouse pull out another win? To steal a little Crystal Ball thunder, I'm guessing this one goes to NC State...East Carolina drops in the polls but barely remains in the Top 25.
Get your West Coast fix: Apparently the Pac 10 is taking the week off, because Arizona at UCLA (2 p.m., FSN) is the only nationally televised game (add: during the day) out of the conference. How many bye weeks, exactly, does USC have? (Um. Duh. See below for the other one. But we should be getting more out of this conference, no?)
Yet another beating: For some reason, it doesn't get old watching BYU tear up the field. This week's victim is a visiting Wyoming (2 p.m., The Mountain).
Top game of the week: I know, I know -- I have an unhealthy obsession with the SEC. But LSU at Auburn (6:45 p.m., ESPN) is really truly going to be the most entertaining game all week long. And because I always love an underdog, War Eagle!
The rest:
Baylor at UConn (7 p.m. Friday, ESPN2): Sorry, Bears, not a chance.
Iowa at Pitt (11 a.m., ESPN2): Just filling airtime.
Alabama at Arkansas (11:30 a.m., ESPN Gameplan): Get your morning bacon.
Central Florida at BC (noon, ESPNU): C-USA takes this one over the hopeless ACC.
Florida at Tennessee (2:30 p.m., CBS): Tim Tebow singlehandedly destroys the Vols.
Notre Dame at Michigan State (2:30 p.m., ABC/ESPN): Charlie Weis' ligaments are the biggest story here
VaTech at North Carolina (2:30 p.m., ABC/ESPN): A win for the ACC!
Rice at Texas (6 p.m., FSN): I feel sorry for the Owls.
Georgia at Arizona State (7 p.m., ABC): Jake gets to watch his team play. Sorry, man.
What's not on that should be:
Last week was the C-USA bias, and this week my SEC leanings come out. I know that Florida's a big draw, but if I were CBS, I'd be begging the conference to move Vanderbilt-Ole Miss game (6 p.m.) to the 2:30 slot and show this one instead. It's been a long, long time since Vandy played decent football, and I'd much rather watch two middle-ground teams face off than see a Gator blowout. But what do I know?
Rankings Review, Sept. 15 / Crystal Ball, in retrospect...
Sunday, September 14, 2008
What we learned by watching television...
I'm talking of Maryland upsetting No. 23 California, a game that helped set the tone for Saturday and raise many questions. I have a hypothesis, or at least dueling hypotheses. Either the Pac-10 is not as good as advertised or the time zone changes during away games really create a problem for the conference's mojo. Cal, Stanford, Arizona, UCLA, Washington and Washington State all lost to non-conference foes by at least a touchdown. Washington State lost by 28, Washington by 49 and UCLA by 59 --- the Bruins' worst lost since the Great Depression.
Meanwhile, Oregon, which racked up nearly 700 yards of offense the week before, struggled mightly to move the ball against an average Purdue team. Arizona State lost to UNLV, a team that had been beaten soundly by Utah the week before.
USC's demolition of Ohio State, of course, was a conference bright spot. Oregon State also won, crushing a piss-bad Hawaii team. But this week really makes me wonder about the strength of a conference that I thought was right there with the SEC. It also makes me wonder whether we have the Top 25 correct.
It looks like the Big 12, Mountain West and the rank-and-file teams in both the Big Ten and ACC are actually pretty good. It also turns out that USC's sacrificial lamb in Week One, Virginia, is much more pathetic than we initially thought. The UVA win catapulted USC to No. 1. But Virginia struggled with I-AA Richmond the very next week and on Saturday lost to the Connecticut Huskies by five touchdowns. Am I saying that UConn could get it on with USC? No. But the season has yet to reveal who the true diamonds are.
In Focus: USC-Ohio State
It's clear to me that the Buckeyes, my preseason No. 1, have absolutely no business being in the Top 10, or maybe even the Top 15. Last week, they struggled at home to beat a bad Ohio team (Ohio lost at home to Central Michigan this week). On Saturday against the Trojans, Ohio State was grossly overmatched.
USC coach Pete Carroll employed an NFL-like gameplan against Ohio State: Offensively, they established the run, applied burner RB Joe McKnight in Reggie Bush-like formations and then went for Ohio State's jugular with playaction. The defensive plan depended upon which Buckeye was calling the signals. Carroll blitzed Todd Boeckman relentlessly and employed extra linebackers against Terrelle Pryor. Without injured star RB Beanie Wells to keep the defense honest, the Buckeyes were vulnerable and it showed.
So, what happens from here? I think USC is still the team to beat, but I'm curious to see how they match up against the best of the SEC. Despite the loss, I think Ohio State will still flourish in the Big Ten. But they should clearly not be mentioned in the same sentence as the elite.
In Focus: Notre Dame
A few thoughts on Notre Dame. Yes, they beat Michigan convincingly (a result aided by six Michigan turnovers in rainy weather.) I also think ND coach Charlie Weis is building something in South Bend. But Notre Dame's future is hazy to me. As ESPN's Lee Corso pointed out on Saturday, the Irish have landed three straight Top 10 recruiting classes under Weis. But against San Diego State last week and Michigan, Notre Dame exuded a High School feel.
Weis is a good offensive coordinator. His schemes are complex, he takes risks and he adapts his offense to the circumstances of the game. But Weis is now in Year Four and his team still looks to be light years away from competing at an elite level. The talent, even the upperclassmen whom Weis recruited four years ago, compares to the Mountain West level, maybe a Utah, I'd say. That's fine, but not for a team that wishes to "stir up the echoes." If the defense can continue to force turnovers, I think the Irish will reach a bowl game this year. But I expect another embarrassing loss when the Irish travel to USC later this season.
Quick thoughts on other games...
I fear for the future of SMU football. Rebuilding or not, the team looked hideously overmatched against Texas Tech, especially on defense. Tech rolled up 33 first downs and nearly 700 yards. And, as far as I can tell, SMU Coach June Jones has never been known for building defenses. SMU Freshman QB Bo Levi Mitchell struggled in a way that was almost painful to watch. Five interceptions, including three in the first quarter. The experiment continues...
Speaking of the SMU-Tech game, I smell a rat. Vegas had Tech favored by 36.5 points. Tech led 43-0 late into the fourth quarter when SMU scored a TD. Final spread: 36.
Kansas was overrated, yes. But QB Todd Reesing has made a believer out of me. He's a fighter, has good instincts and he's accurate. Against South Florida on Friday, he withstood constant pressure and a hostile crowd to pass for nearly 400 yards and three scores.
The Mountain West Conference has a chip on its shoulder. This supposedly second-tier conference has a stable of legitimately good teams: BYU, Utah, TCU and Air Force. Even better, they all win in different ways. BYU with short passes, Utah with balance, TCU with a relentless rushing game and Air Force with a potent triple option attack.
The following surprise defenses are among the nation's best: Georgia Tech, Iowa, Fresno State, Tulane
Watch out for WR Brandon Tate of North Carolina. He's the ACC's version of Reggie Bush.
Overrated: Wisconsin, South Florida, Oregon, Illinois
Underrated: Florida State, Boise State, Iowa, Vanderbilt, Middle Tennessee, Kentucky
Fine Nine: USC, Oklahoma, Georgia, Florida, LSU, Texas, Missouri, Penn State, Alabama
Pac-10 potpourri, Week 3
Then came the shocker, which I've been monitoring tonight via the Web and text alerts. I'm glad I didn't spring for the Fox Sports West Coast channel, because witnessing this travesty would have been too much for this Sun Devil to bear. ASU, possibly energized by Georgia's half-assed effort against South Carolina earlier in the day, overlooked UNLV and lost in overtime to the Runnin' Rebels. Not having witnessed the game, I can't say exactly what went wrong, although Keegan Herring's absence surely played a huge role by taking the lightning away from ASU's two-pronged rushing attack. Wait a sec -- just saw some higlights on ESPN. UNLV quarterback Omar Clayton channeled fellow Rebel Randall Cunningham by scrambling to avoid a sack with less than 30 seconds left, then flinging a touchdown pass to some wideout who made a ridiculous one-handed grab that sent the game into overtime. ASU's attempt to tie the game in OT with a field goal was blocked, and that was that.
Of course, this inexcusable loss ruins any BCS hopes that ASU might have had. The Devils don't stand a chance against USC in LA, although they may fare better than the Buckeyes did today. I still think ASU might beat Georgia at home, though. The Bulldogs' 3-man defensive line looked absolutely gassed against the Gamecocks in the fourth quarter, and Georgia was saved by a couple of gimme turnovers. Meanwhile, Matt Stafford and the Bulldog offense looked downright feeble against the defense of an unranked South Carolina team. Still, even if ASU does pull an upset against an SEC opponent at home, it's just a nice resume-builder for a possible shot at another Holiday Bowl. Whoopedy friggin' doo.