BCS outlook: Changing by the week

Well, we've got a month or so left. And no shortage of turmoil in the home stretch. Tech over Texas? Damn. Maryland? WTF. The Big East? Holy shamoley, what a mess.

The picks...

Top 2: Alabama, Texas Tech

Conference champs/leaders:
Big 12: [Texas Tech]
Big 10: Penn State
SEC: [Alabama]
ACC: Ummm...Georgia Tech?
Big East: West Virginia
Pac 10: USC

Non-automatic conference in Top 12: Utah

No. 3, 4: Texas

At-large is, as always, a mess. Florida, Boise State, Ohio State and TCU are in the mix for the final two spots. I give them to Florida and Ohio State -- a bowl is probably going to pick a major conference over a non-automatic one.

If they were played today:
(Automatic placements are not labeled; guessed placements are marked as such.)
BCS Championship: Alabama-Texas Tech. I trust Tech's offense over Alabama's defense.
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech-West Virginia (guess). Lameness continues.
West Virginia wins.
Sugar Bowl: Florida (guess)-Ohio State (guess). Gators dominate.
Fiesta Bowl: Texas (guess)-Utah (guess). Longhorns, despite disappointment over not being in the title game, crush the Utes.
Rose Bowl: USC-Penn State. This matchup won't change, barring Oregon State or Cal taking over the Pac 10 or a Texas Tech/Alabama loss. Hand it to the Big 10 -- Paterno's kids win.